Judgment Under Uncertainty

The 1982 collection that gathered a decade of work by Kahneman, Slovic, Tversky and their colleagues into a single volume. Representativeness, availability, anchoring: people do not compute probabilities, they substitute simpler judgements, and the errors that follow are systematic rather than random. The papers are technical and the prose is plain. Almost everything later written about behavioural economics traces back to something first stated here.